Betting Lines
| Spread | RAD -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Over |
| Money | CAM +140 RAD -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RAD +6 | 128 | Lost |
| Massey | RAD -0.0 (-6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.0 (-9.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CAM -0.2 (-6.2) | 138.1 (-10.1) | 48% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RAD -1.4 (-4.6) | 134.0 (-6.0) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RAD -0.5 (-5.5) | 137.6 (-9.6) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CAM -0.1 (-6.1) | 139.9 (-11.9) | 46% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2023 | CAM 72 – 71 RAD |
| Feb 25, 2023 | RAD 67 – 65 CAM |
| Jan 19, 2023 | RAD 63 – 55 CAM |
| Feb 16, 2022 | RAD 71 – 67 CAM |
| Jan 15, 2022 | CAM 70 – 58 RAD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAM | RAD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-10 | 15-12 |
| Conference | 11-6 | 12-6 |
| Home | 9-3 | 9-5 |
| Away | 6-7 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 66.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.9 | 65.8 |
| Massey | -4.6 (#244) | -1.9 (#200) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.22 (#267) | -0.81 (#233) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.76 (#273) | -1.09 (#236) |
| RPI | 0.457 (#228) | 0.498 (#168) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAM | RAD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.3% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 29.8% |
| REB / G | 26.3 | 37.9 |
| OREB / G | 4.5 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.67 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.5% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 23.7% |
| ORB% | 15.3% | 33.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 29.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.5% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 76.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 18.7% |
Game Analysis
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