Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | WIS -700 NU +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIS +16 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | WIS -9.1 (+6.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.7 (-17.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIS -8.1 (+7.9) | 137.8 (-17.8) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIS -7.6 (+8.4) | 134.2 (-14.2) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -8.9 (+7.1) | 137.0 (-17.0) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -8.0 (+8.0) | 138.9 (-18.9) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2025 | WIS 85 – 73 NU |
| Mar 13, 2025 | WIS 70 – 63 NU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | WIS 75 – 69 NU |
| Mar 15, 2024 | WIS 70 – 61 NU |
| Jan 13, 2024 | WIS 71 – 63 NU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIS | NU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-13 | 9-15 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 6-13 |
| Home | 11-5 | 7-6 |
| Away | 5-6 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.6 | 71.0 |
| Massey | 14.6 (#19) | 8.2 (#65) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.93 (#17) | 1.80 (#61) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.36 (#16) | 3.02 (#43) |
| RPI | 0.613 (#28) | 0.533 (#112) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIS | NU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 39.1% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 6.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.64 | 1.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 12.5% | 14.1% |
| ORB% | 23.6% | 19.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.1% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 75.9% | 74.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.1% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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