Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | WIS -575 NU +425 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIS +12 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | WIS -5.7 (+6.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.3 (-1.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -5.4 (+6.6) | 154.3 (+3.7) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIS -6.6 (+5.4) | 151.5 (+6.5) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIS -5.0 (+7.0) | 150.0 (+8.0) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -4.0 (+8.0) | 152.6 (+5.4) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2025 | WIS 70 – 63 NU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | WIS 75 – 69 NU |
| Mar 15, 2024 | WIS 70 – 61 NU |
| Jan 13, 2024 | WIS 71 – 63 NU |
| Feb 5, 2023 | NU 54 – 52 WIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIS | NU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 15-19 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 5-15 |
| Home | 15-2 | 9-8 |
| Away | 6-5 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.0 | 73.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 72.0 |
| Massey | 11.2 (#48) | 10.5 (#53) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.22 (#93) | 1.41 (#83) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.18 (#76) | 1.97 (#85) |
| RPI | 0.564 (#85) | 0.583 (#67) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIS | NU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 51.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 38.2% |
| REB / G | 38.6 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.50 | 2.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 57.6% |
| TOV% | 14.5% | 13.1% |
| ORB% | 34.4% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 27.2% | 29.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 44.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 76.3% | 63.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.9% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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