Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | WIS -425 NU +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIS +7 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | WIS -5.9 (+1.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.9 (-9.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIS -6.2 (+0.8) | 141.2 (-8.2) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIS -6.5 (+0.5) | 140.8 (-7.8) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -5.8 (+1.2) | 140.5 (-7.5) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -5.8 (+1.2) | 141.1 (-8.1) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2025 | WIS 85 – 73 NU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | WIS 75 – 69 NU |
| Mar 15, 2024 | WIS 70 – 61 NU |
| Jan 13, 2024 | WIS 71 – 63 NU |
| Feb 5, 2023 | NU 54 – 52 WIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIS | NU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-10 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 7-13 |
| Home | 14-3 | 12-5 |
| Away | 6-5 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 7-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.1 | 72.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 69.2 |
| Massey | 17.3 (#18) | 11.5 (#51) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.79 (#23) | 1.52 (#65) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.74 (#15) | 2.32 (#54) |
| RPI | 0.599 (#27) | 0.540 (#98) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIS | NU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.49 | 1.50 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.3% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 14.3% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 28.1% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.7% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 27.2% |
Game Analysis
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