Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 124.5 Under |
| Money | WIS -188 NU +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NU +2 | 106 | Lost |
| Massey | WIS -1.6 (-3.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 121.2 (-15.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -1.3 (-3.3) | 127.9 (-21.9) | 52% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIS -2.5 (-4.5) | 126.2 (-20.2) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIS -1.9 (-3.9) | 127.1 (-21.1) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -1.8 (-3.8) | 127.9 (-21.9) | 55% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2025 | WIS 85 – 73 NU |
| Mar 13, 2025 | WIS 70 – 63 NU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | WIS 75 – 69 NU |
| Mar 15, 2024 | WIS 70 – 61 NU |
| Jan 13, 2024 | WIS 71 – 63 NU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIS | NU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-15 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 12-8 |
| Home | 11-6 | 13-5 |
| Away | 6-6 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.3 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.6 | 62.8 |
| Massey | 7.5 (#71) | 9.4 (#53) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.90 (#44) | 1.62 (#55) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.25 (#49) | 1.85 (#63) |
| RPI | 0.572 (#60) | 0.556 (#81) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIS | NU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.3 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 47.0% |
| TOV% | 13.7% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 20.8% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 16.3% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 21.9% |
| DRB% | 74.7% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.7% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
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