Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | NU +155 WIS -185 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIS +6 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | WIS -3.1 (-2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.0 (-2.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIS -1.1 (-4.9) | 145.3 (-1.3) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIS -2.3 (-3.7) | 145.2 (-1.2) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -2.3 (-3.7) | 145.8 (-1.8) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -2.5 (-3.5) | 147.0 (-3.0) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2025 | WIS 85 – 73 NU |
| Mar 13, 2025 | WIS 70 – 63 NU |
| Mar 15, 2024 | WIS 70 – 61 NU |
| Jan 13, 2024 | WIS 71 – 63 NU |
| Feb 5, 2023 | NU 54 – 52 WIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NU | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 27-10 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 13-7 |
| Home | 12-5 | 14-3 |
| Away | 2-9 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 7-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 80.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.2 | 70.9 |
| Massey | 10.9 (#54) | 17.2 (#20) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.35 (#73) | 2.86 (#22) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.06 (#66) | 3.99 (#19) |
| RPI | 0.547 (#89) | 0.625 (#20) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NU | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 46.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.47 | 1.46 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 55.2% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 14.9% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 30.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.2% | 21.4% |
Game Analysis
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