You know he knows just exactly what the facts is. "Take the Money and Run" - The Steve Miller Band
Big Ten Conference · Kohl Center · January 13, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread WIS -8.5 Away covered
O/U 131.5 Over
Money WIS -400 / NU +280
Model Predictions
Spread Total WIS win
Actual WIS +8 134 Won
Massey WIS -12.3 (-4.3)
Massey Totals 139.5 (-5.5)
Bradley-Terry 76%
Weighted B-T 76%
Efficiency Plus ML WIS -9.6 (-1.6) 133.5 (+0.5) 82%
Baseline Tuned ML WIS -11.1 (-3.1) 140.4 (-6.4) 83%
Baseline ML WIS -9.7 (-1.7) 141.3 (-7.3) 82%
Baseline Plus ML WIS -10.0 (-2.0) 138.7 (-4.7) 82%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 4, 2025 WIS 8573 NU
Mar 13, 2025 WIS 7063 NU
Feb 1, 2025 WIS 7569 NU
Mar 15, 2024 WIS 7061 NU
Feb 5, 2023 NU 5452 WIS

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WIS NU
Overall 22-14 22-12
Conference 11-9 12-8
Home 14-3 15-2
Away 3-9 4-7
Neutral 5-2 3-3
Last 5 5-0 4-1
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 74.7 73.3
Avg Pts Against 70.0 69.1
Massey 15.5 (#17) 7.3 (#76)
Bradley-Terry 2.77 (#16) 2.38 (#27)
W. Bradley-Terry 3.59 (#13) 3.25 (#21)
RPI 0.646 (#12) 0.596 (#41)
Shooting & Four Factors WIS NU
FG% 47.0% 47.3%
3PT% 33.9% 37.7%
REB / G 34.4 30.8
OREB / G 10.3 8.3
AST / TO 1.28 1.78
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.8% 54.2%
TOV% 14.6% 14.2%
ORB% 31.8% 25.9%
FT Rate 27.0% 20.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.4% 50.4%
Opp TOV% 18.6% 21.1%
DRB% 77.5% 70.7%
Opp FT Rate 20.9% 26.7%

Game Analysis

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