Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | WIS -400 NU +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIS +8 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | WIS -12.3 (-4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.5 (-5.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -10.0 (-2.0) | 138.7 (-4.7) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIS -9.6 (-1.6) | 133.5 (+0.5) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIS -11.1 (-3.1) | 140.4 (-6.4) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -9.7 (-1.7) | 141.3 (-7.3) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2025 | WIS 85 – 73 NU |
| Mar 13, 2025 | WIS 70 – 63 NU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | WIS 75 – 69 NU |
| Mar 15, 2024 | WIS 70 – 61 NU |
| Feb 5, 2023 | NU 54 – 52 WIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIS | NU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-14 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 12-8 |
| Home | 14-3 | 15-2 |
| Away | 3-9 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 73.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.0 | 69.1 |
| Massey | 15.5 (#17) | 7.3 (#76) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.77 (#16) | 2.38 (#27) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.59 (#13) | 3.25 (#21) |
| RPI | 0.646 (#12) | 0.596 (#41) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIS | NU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 47.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 37.7% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 1.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 54.2% |
| TOV% | 14.6% | 14.2% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 27.0% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 77.5% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 26.7% |
Game Analysis
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