Four young chiquitas in Omaha waitin' for the band to return from the show. "We're an American Band" - Grand Funk Railroad
Atlantic Coast Conference · McCamish Pavilion · January 21, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread CLEM -1.5 Home covered
O/U 128.5 Over
Money GT +125 / CLEM -120
Model Predictions
Spread Total GT win
Actual GT +18 148 Won
Massey CLEM -1.3 (+19.3) — —
Massey Totals — 136.7 (+11.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 17% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 10% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML CLEM -0.4 (+18.4) 136.2 (+11.8) 51% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ GT -0.8 (+17.2) 135.4 (+12.6) 58% ✓
Baseline Plus ML GT -0.3 (+17.7) 139.8 (+8.2) 60% ✓
Baseline ML CLEM -0.3 (+18.3) 138.7 (+9.3) 55% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 7, 2026 CLEM 79 – 76 GT
Jan 24, 2026 CLEM 77 – 63 GT
Feb 5, 2025 GT 89 – 86 CLEM
Jan 15, 2025 CLEM 70 – 59 GT
Feb 22, 2024 CLEM 81 – 57 GT

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings GT CLEM
Overall 17-9 16-8
Conference 11-6 10-6
Home 11-3 11-1
Away 4-5 2-5
Neutral 3-1 3-2
Last 5 4-1 4-1
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 72.2 64.9
Avg Pts Against 67.4 61.9
Massey 7.1 (#71) 11.2 (#42)
Bradley-Terry 1.14 (#93) 3.22 (#12)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.74 (#84) 4.50 (#12)
RPI 0.502 (#160) 0.656 (#9)
Shooting & Four Factors GT CLEM
FG% 46.7% 42.5%
3PT% 34.0% 32.8%
REB / G 34.9 33.3
OREB / G 9.1 9.5
AST / TO 1.36 0.99
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.4% 49.4%
TOV% 16.5% 18.7%
ORB% 26.2% 27.5%
FT Rate 24.8% 17.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.5% 47.6%
Opp TOV% 21.7% 25.1%
DRB% 73.2% 72.4%
Opp FT Rate 20.6% 20.7%

Game Analysis

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