Betting Lines
| Spread | BRAD -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | ILST +350 BRAD -400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ILST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ILST +15 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | BRAD -9.6 (+24.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.4 (-12.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 18% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRAD -7.6 (+22.6) | 136.8 (-9.8) | 22% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRAD -8.1 (+23.1) | 134.3 (-7.3) | 21% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRAD -8.3 (+23.3) | 137.3 (-10.3) | 21% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BRAD -7.4 (+22.4) | 137.8 (-10.8) | 24% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | BRAD 74 – 60 ILST |
| Jan 17, 2026 | ILST 88 – 62 BRAD |
| Feb 20, 2025 | ILST 82 – 71 BRAD |
| Jan 25, 2025 | BRAD 61 – 57 ILST |
| Feb 25, 2024 | BRAD 48 – 45 ILST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ILST | BRAD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-18 | 12-16 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 6-12 |
| Home | 3-8 | 8-6 |
| Away | 3-9 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.6 | 67.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 68.1 |
| Massey | -7.2 (#279) | 5.1 (#99) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.25 (#269) | 0.76 (#118) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.49 (#257) | 0.69 (#130) |
| RPI | 0.409 (#300) | 0.561 (#77) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ILST | BRAD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 37.9% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 39.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 22.8% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 14.9% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 47.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 18.7% |
Game Analysis
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