Betting Lines
| Spread | NOLA -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | NOLA -175 AMCC +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NOLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NOLA +19 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | NOLA -4.3 (+14.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.5 (+15.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NOLA -3.7 (+15.3) | 137.6 (+17.4) | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NOLA -4.4 (+14.6) | 135.7 (+19.3) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NOLA -5.1 (+13.9) | 139.8 (+15.2) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NOLA -3.9 (+15.1) | 137.8 (+17.2) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | AMCC 74 – 61 NOLA |
| Feb 10, 2026 | NOLA 84 – 78 AMCC |
| Dec 31, 2025 | AMCC 83 – 69 NOLA |
| Mar 4, 2025 | AMCC 95 – 62 NOLA |
| Jan 7, 2025 | AMCC 97 – 83 NOLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NOLA | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-15 | 5-19 |
| Conference | 8-7 | 2-13 |
| Home | 6-3 | 4-8 |
| Away | 2-10 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 63.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.2 | 74.1 |
| Massey | -8.9 (#301) | -10.5 (#312) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.99 (#332) | -2.89 (#329) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.35 (#334) | -4.28 (#333) |
| RPI | 0.364 (#328) | 0.400 (#306) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NOLA | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 38.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 29.7% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.67 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 44.1% |
| TOV% | 23.2% | 26.5% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 25.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.1% | 26.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.8% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.1% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.9% | 29.7% |
Game Analysis
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