Betting Lines
| Spread | BGSU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | M-OH +188 BGSU -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | M-OH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | M-OH +19 | 173 | Won |
| Massey | BGSU -6.3 (+25.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.9 (+29.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 28% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BGSU -4.4 (+23.4) | 144.1 (+28.9) | 35% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BGSU -3.1 (+22.1) | 144.1 (+28.9) | 35% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BGSU -3.8 (+22.8) | 148.1 (+24.9) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BGSU -4.1 (+23.1) | 144.9 (+28.1) | 33% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | M-OH 91 – 77 BGSU |
| Dec 31, 2025 | M-OH 93 – 83 BGSU |
| Jan 22, 2025 | M-OH 84 – 76 BGSU |
| Feb 28, 2024 | M-OH 66 – 58 BGSU |
| Jan 17, 2024 | BGSU 78 – 73 M-OH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | M-OH | BGSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-11 | 14-12 |
| Conference | 9-8 | 10-8 |
| Home | 7-4 | 4-7 |
| Away | 5-6 | 10-3 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 77.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 74.9 |
| Massey | -4.0 (#234) | 5.1 (#103) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.74 (#226) | 0.68 (#123) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.99 (#232) | 0.41 (#147) |
| RPI | 0.436 (#266) | 0.535 (#108) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | M-OH | BGSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.9% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 38.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 25.3% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 26.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.9% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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