Betting Lines
| Spread | GWEB -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | GWEB -110 UNCA +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GWEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GWEB +27 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | GWEB -3.3 (+23.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.0 (-9.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GWEB -1.4 (+25.6) | 148.5 (-7.5) | 58% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GWEB -1.8 (+25.2) | 146.8 (-5.8) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GWEB -2.1 (+24.9) | 149.2 (-8.2) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GWEB -1.5 (+25.5) | 150.4 (-9.4) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | UNCA 77 – 71 GWEB |
| Jan 29, 2026 | UNCA 69 – 50 GWEB |
| Feb 7, 2025 | UNCA 78 – 70 GWEB |
| Jan 23, 2025 | UNCA 61 – 53 GWEB |
| Mar 9, 2024 | UNCA 83 – 72 GWEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GWEB | UNCA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-15 | 10-10 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 9-5 |
| Home | 7-4 | 6-4 |
| Away | 4-11 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 73.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.4 | 72.8 |
| Massey | -1.3 (#181) | -1.8 (#198) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.39 (#280) | -1.13 (#257) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.69 (#269) | -1.22 (#243) |
| RPI | 0.492 (#185) | 0.435 (#270) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GWEB | UNCA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 48.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 55.0% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 23.7% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 18.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.1% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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