Betting Lines
| Spread | UK -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | UGA +170 UK -163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UGA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UGA +1 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | UGA -1.5 (-0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.7 (-22.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UGA -1.8 (-0.8) | 147.7 (-22.7) | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UGA -0.9 (+0.1) | 146.5 (-21.5) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UGA -1.6 (-0.6) | 147.5 (-22.5) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UGA -1.2 (-0.2) | 148.4 (-23.4) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | UGA 86 – 78 UK |
| Jan 8, 2025 | UGA 82 – 69 UK |
| Jan 20, 2024 | UK 105 – 96 UGA |
| Feb 11, 2023 | UGA 75 – 68 UK |
| Jan 18, 2023 | UK 85 – 71 UGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UGA | UK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-12 | 9-16 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 8-9 |
| Home | 12-5 | 5-6 |
| Away | 2-6 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.2 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.6 | 70.2 |
| Massey | 5.1 (#100) | 6.4 (#84) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.91 (#105) | 0.55 (#134) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.28 (#108) | 1.49 (#97) |
| RPI | 0.534 (#110) | 0.525 (#123) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UGA | UK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 29.7% |
| REB / G | 39.5 | 38.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 22.3% | 21.6% |
| ORB% | 34.6% | 35.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 46.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.7% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.4% | 20.1% |
Game Analysis
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