Betting Lines
| Spread | COLO -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | WASH +750 COLO -900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WASH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WASH +4 | 164 | Won |
| Massey | COLO -18.0 (+22.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.2 (+22.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 1% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLO -14.6 (+18.6) | 141.5 (+22.5) | 13% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLO -13.5 (+17.5) | 140.1 (+23.9) | 16% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLO -14.9 (+18.9) | 142.0 (+22.0) | 14% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | COLO -14.4 (+18.4) | 142.9 (+21.1) | 14% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 28, 2025 | COLO 81 – 68 WASH |
| Jan 25, 2024 | COLO 98 – 81 WASH |
| Dec 30, 2023 | COLO 73 – 69 WASH |
| Mar 8, 2023 | COLO 74 – 68 WASH |
| Jan 20, 2023 | WASH 75 – 72 COLO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WASH | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-21 | 23-9 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 14-6 |
| Home | 4-7 | 11-1 |
| Away | 1-9 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 73.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.4 | 63.8 |
| Massey | -2.9 (#215) | 17.9 (#8) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.19 (#319) | 2.57 (#31) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.36 (#299) | 3.49 (#28) |
| RPI | 0.454 (#233) | 0.634 (#14) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WASH | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.3% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 29.3% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.72 | 1.28 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.7% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 24.9% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 17.7% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 46.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 20.7% |
| DRB% | 62.0% | 75.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 17.8% |
Game Analysis
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