Betting Lines
| Spread | MCN -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | MCN -138 SELA +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MCN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SELA +4 | 180 | Lost |
| Massey | SELA -4.4 (+0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.3 (+32.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SELA -4.3 (+0.3) | 140.5 (+39.5) | 29% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SELA -2.9 (-1.1) | 143.0 (+37.0) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SELA -5.3 (+1.3) | 146.1 (+33.9) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SELA -5.0 (+1.0) | 142.2 (+37.8) | 24% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2026 | MCN 76 – 66 SELA |
| Jan 10, 2026 | MCN 73 – 61 SELA |
| Feb 18, 2025 | MCN 88 – 82 SELA |
| Dec 31, 2024 | MCN 79 – 51 SELA |
| Feb 3, 2024 | SELA 77 – 74 MCN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MCN | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-14 | 8-18 |
| Conference | 4-10 | 5-10 |
| Home | 7-5 | 3-4 |
| Away | 3-8 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.1 | 77.7 |
| Massey | -19.3 (#345) | -12.2 (#327) |
| Bradley-Terry | -5.42 (#349) | -1.53 (#286) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -8.18 (#349) | -2.50 (#306) |
| RPI | 0.243 (#349) | 0.452 (#237) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MCN | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 36.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 26.4% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.56 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 42.3% |
| TOV% | 22.7% | 24.2% |
| ORB% | 22.1% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 28.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.6% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 21.8% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 27.1% |
Game Analysis
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