Betting Lines
| Spread | FUR -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 159.5 Under |
| Money | VMI +600 FUR -700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VMI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VMI +1 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | FUR -9.7 (+10.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 164.4 (-17.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 14% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FUR -8.4 (+9.4) | 159.5 (-12.5) | 22% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FUR -7.3 (+8.3) | 158.8 (-11.8) | 31% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FUR -6.6 (+7.6) | 160.5 (-13.5) | 27% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FUR -8.5 (+9.5) | 159.2 (-12.2) | 32% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | FUR 90 – 72 VMI |
| Jan 10, 2026 | FUR 69 – 48 VMI |
| Feb 22, 2025 | FUR 75 – 71 VMI |
| Jan 22, 2025 | VMI 91 – 82 FUR |
| Feb 15, 2024 | FUR 75 – 62 VMI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VMI | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-12 | 16-9 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 10-5 |
| Home | 11-1 | 11-1 |
| Away | 1-10 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.5 | 78.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.1 | 70.5 |
| Massey | -1.3 (#182) | 11.1 (#43) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.65 (#215) | 1.71 (#64) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.73 (#212) | 2.23 (#66) |
| RPI | 0.450 (#241) | 0.589 (#47) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VMI | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 51.0% |
| 3PT% | 38.5% | 37.3% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.28 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 59.7% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 22.7% | 25.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 22.4% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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