Betting Lines
| Spread | NICH -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | HCU +400 NICH -400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NICH +9 | 175 | Lost |
| Massey | NICH -7.2 (-1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.0 (+20.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NICH -7.0 (-2.0) | 151.4 (+23.6) | 24% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NICH -7.1 (-1.9) | 150.7 (+24.3) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NICH -7.4 (-1.6) | 154.5 (+20.5) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NICH -6.9 (-2.1) | 152.1 (+22.9) | 24% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2026 | HCU 72 – 68 NICH |
| Dec 18, 2025 | NICH 79 – 64 HCU |
| Feb 4, 2025 | NICH 75 – 67 HCU |
| Feb 3, 2024 | NICH 83 – 73 HCU |
| Jan 6, 2024 | NICH 98 – 94 HCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HCU | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-19 | 18-7 |
| Conference | 4-11 | 14-2 |
| Home | 4-6 | 8-1 |
| Away | 1-12 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 77.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.1 | 73.8 |
| Massey | -11.5 (#322) | -1.5 (#189) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.90 (#330) | -0.05 (#169) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.22 (#332) | -0.38 (#187) |
| RPI | 0.387 (#315) | 0.496 (#174) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HCU | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 23.6% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 23.2% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 16.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.3% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 20.7% |
| DRB% | 66.3% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 26.8% |
Game Analysis
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