Betting Lines
| Spread | UNM -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | UNM -333 SJSU +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNM +16 | 118 | Won |
| Massey | UNM -8.6 (+7.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.8 (-25.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNM -7.1 (+8.9) | 137.6 (-19.6) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNM -6.6 (+9.4) | 138.4 (-20.4) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNM -7.3 (+8.7) | 139.7 (-21.7) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNM -7.1 (+8.9) | 138.4 (-20.4) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | UNM 93 – 77 SJSU |
| Feb 1, 2026 | UNM 90 – 80 SJSU |
| Dec 21, 2025 | UNM 88 – 65 SJSU |
| Mar 13, 2025 | UNM 63 – 52 SJSU |
| Jan 15, 2025 | SJSU 71 – 70 UNM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNM | SJSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-16 | 5-16 |
| Conference | 2-15 | 3-13 |
| Home | 1-4 | 4-6 |
| Away | 3-8 | 0-8 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L3 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.1 | 63.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.8 | 82.4 |
| Massey | -10.2 (#310) | -18.8 (#343) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.82 (#235) | -3.58 (#339) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.13 (#239) | -5.05 (#338) |
| RPI | 0.469 (#211) | 0.386 (#317) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNM | SJSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 35.7% | 35.6% |
| 3PT% | 25.1% | 29.9% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.66 | 0.60 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 39.5% | 41.1% |
| TOV% | 21.4% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 21.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 19.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 54.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 64.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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