Betting Lines
| Spread | AKR -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | AKR -600 CMU +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AKR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AKR +14 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | AKR -12.8 (+1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.2 (-6.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AKR -10.5 (+3.5) | 150.4 (-2.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AKR -9.6 (+4.4) | 154.2 (-6.2) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AKR -10.4 (+3.6) | 154.0 (-6.0) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AKR -10.8 (+3.2) | 150.8 (-2.8) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | AKR 77 – 64 CMU |
| Jan 7, 2026 | AKR 82 – 69 CMU |
| Feb 16, 2025 | AKR 85 – 82 CMU |
| Jan 8, 2025 | AKR 87 – 71 CMU |
| Feb 7, 2024 | AKR 68 – 47 CMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AKR | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-8 | 7-16 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 3-13 |
| Home | 9-1 | 5-6 |
| Away | 5-5 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.6 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.8 | 81.9 |
| Massey | 3.5 (#116) | -6.6 (#272) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.58 (#133) | -1.38 (#279) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.67 (#133) | -1.69 (#270) |
| RPI | 0.546 (#95) | 0.411 (#296) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AKR | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 40.6 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.1% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 66.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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