And I'm so pilled up that I rattle. "Revolution Rock" - The Clash
Mid-American Conference · James A. Rhodes Arena · January 7, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread AKR -23.5 Away covered
O/U 164.5 Under
Money AKR -6500 / CMU +2000
Model Predictions
Spread Total AKR win
Actual AKR +13 151 Won
Massey AKR -27.9 (-14.9)
Massey Totals 168.4 (-17.4)
Bradley-Terry 99%
Weighted B-T 99%
Efficiency Plus ML AKR -21.3 (-8.3) 158.4 (-7.4) 90%
Baseline Tuned ML AKR -20.1 (-7.1) 156.4 (-5.4) 91%
Baseline ML AKR -23.3 (-10.3) 158.1 (-7.1) 91%
Baseline Plus ML AKR -22.9 (-9.9) 159.3 (-8.3) 90%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 4, 2026 AKR 7764 CMU
Feb 16, 2025 AKR 8582 CMU
Jan 8, 2025 AKR 8771 CMU
Feb 7, 2024 AKR 6847 CMU
Jan 18, 2023 AKR 6951 CMU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings AKR CMU
Overall 29-6 10-21
Conference 17-1 6-12
Home 15-0 8-5
Away 9-3 1-15
Neutral 5-3 1-1
Last 5 3-2 0-5
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 86.4 71.7
Avg Pts Against 75.0 77.7
Massey 11.7 (#47) -12.3 (#336)
Bradley-Terry 1.53 (#75) -2.17 (#327)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.84 (#78) -2.65 (#324)
RPI 0.587 (#51) 0.392 (#339)
Shooting & Four Factors AKR CMU
FG% 51.9% 43.4%
3PT% 39.1% 29.0%
REB / G 36.5 32.2
OREB / G 11.4 9.9
AST / TO 1.88 1.18
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 59.9% 48.4%
TOV% 14.1% 17.5%
ORB% 34.9% 28.0%
FT Rate 22.8% 19.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.9% 54.6%
Opp TOV% 18.6% 15.4%
DRB% 66.2% 65.4%
Opp FT Rate 24.3% 31.0%

Game Analysis

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