Betting Lines
| Spread | AKR -23.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 164.5 Under |
| Money | AKR -6500 CMU +2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AKR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AKR +13 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | AKR -27.9 (-14.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 168.4 (-17.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AKR -22.9 (-9.9) | 159.3 (-8.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AKR -21.3 (-8.3) | 158.4 (-7.4) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AKR -20.1 (-7.1) | 156.4 (-5.4) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AKR -23.3 (-10.3) | 158.1 (-7.1) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | AKR 77 – 64 CMU |
| Feb 16, 2025 | AKR 85 – 82 CMU |
| Jan 8, 2025 | AKR 87 – 71 CMU |
| Feb 7, 2024 | AKR 68 – 47 CMU |
| Jan 18, 2023 | AKR 69 – 51 CMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AKR | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-6 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 17-1 | 6-12 |
| Home | 15-0 | 8-5 |
| Away | 9-3 | 1-15 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 86.4 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 77.7 |
| Massey | 11.7 (#47) | -12.3 (#336) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.53 (#75) | -2.17 (#327) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.84 (#78) | -2.65 (#324) |
| RPI | 0.587 (#51) | 0.392 (#339) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AKR | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.9% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 39.1% | 29.0% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.88 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.9% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 14.1% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 34.9% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 19.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 54.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 66.2% | 65.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 31.0% |
Game Analysis
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