Betting Lines
| Spread | AKR -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | AKR -450 CMU +340 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AKR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AKR +16 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | AKR -7.4 (+8.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.7 (+10.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AKR -5.1 (+10.9) | 143.5 (+14.5) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AKR -7.1 (+8.9) | 143.9 (+14.1) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AKR -5.1 (+10.9) | 141.8 (+16.2) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AKR -5.1 (+10.9) | 142.0 (+16.0) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | AKR 77 – 64 CMU |
| Jan 7, 2026 | AKR 82 – 69 CMU |
| Feb 16, 2025 | AKR 85 – 82 CMU |
| Feb 7, 2024 | AKR 68 – 47 CMU |
| Jan 18, 2023 | AKR 69 – 51 CMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AKR | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 17-1 | 7-11 |
| Home | 16-0 | 8-6 |
| Away | 8-4 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.4 | 72.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.4 | 74.4 |
| Massey | 0.3 (#155) | -3.1 (#221) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.02 (#168) | -0.65 (#227) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.13 (#176) | -0.55 (#209) |
| RPI | 0.512 (#146) | 0.507 (#152) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AKR | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 39.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 27.5% |
| REB / G | 38.7 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 13.5 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 45.0% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 21.8% |
| ORB% | 32.7% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 18.5% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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