Betting Lines
| Spread | AKR -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Under |
| Money | CMU +525 AKR -750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AKR +13 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | AKR -13.2 (+0.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.3 (-21.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AKR -12.1 (-0.9) | 155.4 (-14.4) | 15% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AKR -11.2 (-1.8) | 156.6 (-15.6) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AKR -9.6 (-3.4) | 156.3 (-15.3) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AKR -10.2 (-2.8) | 156.7 (-15.7) | 15% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 7, 2026 | AKR 82 – 69 CMU |
| Feb 16, 2025 | AKR 85 – 82 CMU |
| Jan 8, 2025 | AKR 87 – 71 CMU |
| Feb 7, 2024 | AKR 68 – 47 CMU |
| Jan 18, 2023 | AKR 69 – 51 CMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CMU | AKR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 29-6 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 17-1 |
| Home | 8-5 | 15-0 |
| Away | 1-15 | 9-3 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 86.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.7 | 75.0 |
| Massey | -6.3 (#269) | 9.9 (#61) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.25 (#278) | 1.79 (#55) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.38 (#265) | 1.99 (#64) |
| RPI | 0.450 (#280) | 0.598 (#30) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CMU | AKR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 50.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 38.5% |
| REB / G | 32.1 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.65 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 58.6% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 33.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 65.7% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.8% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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