Betting Lines
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | CMU +400 AKR -450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AKR +18 | 120 | Lost |
| Massey | AKR -5.6 (-12.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.0 (-11.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AKR -6.1 (-11.9) | 136.1 (-16.1) | 24% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AKR -7.4 (-10.6) | 135.2 (-15.2) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AKR -7.0 (-11.0) | 134.1 (-14.1) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AKR -5.5 (-12.5) | 135.9 (-15.9) | 24% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | AKR 77 – 64 CMU |
| Jan 7, 2026 | AKR 82 – 69 CMU |
| Feb 16, 2025 | AKR 85 – 82 CMU |
| Jan 8, 2025 | AKR 87 – 71 CMU |
| Feb 7, 2024 | AKR 68 – 47 CMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CMU | AKR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 13-5 |
| Home | 6-8 | 15-1 |
| Away | 3-12 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.7 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 68.3 |
| Massey | -5.6 (#262) | 3.9 (#111) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.56 (#313) | 0.60 (#115) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.82 (#304) | 0.48 (#134) |
| RPI | 0.399 (#337) | 0.523 (#134) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CMU | AKR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.4% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 27.5% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.68 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.8% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 22.8% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.1% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 75.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 18.2% |
Game Analysis
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