Betting Lines
| Spread | AKR -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | AKR -1400 CMU +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AKR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AKR +21 | 115 | Won |
| Massey | AKR -15.8 (+5.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.1 (-18.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AKR -12.7 (+8.3) | 133.3 (-18.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AKR -15.1 (+5.9) | 132.7 (-17.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AKR -11.9 (+9.1) | 133.2 (-18.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AKR -13.1 (+7.9) | 133.6 (-18.6) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | AKR 77 – 64 CMU |
| Jan 7, 2026 | AKR 82 – 69 CMU |
| Feb 16, 2025 | AKR 85 – 82 CMU |
| Jan 8, 2025 | AKR 87 – 71 CMU |
| Jan 18, 2023 | AKR 69 – 51 CMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AKR | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 12-6 |
| Home | 13-1 | 10-3 |
| Away | 7-6 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 65.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.1 | 70.2 |
| Massey | 6.0 (#94) | -6.3 (#280) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.32 (#76) | 0.25 (#152) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.74 (#76) | -0.27 (#190) |
| RPI | 0.571 (#67) | 0.503 (#167) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AKR | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 18.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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