Betting Lines
| Spread | DAV -18.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 121.5 Over |
| Money | DAV -3300 FOR +2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DAV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAV +15 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | DAV -23.7 (-8.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 116.5 (+14.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DAV -18.8 (-3.8) | 131.3 (-0.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DAV -16.7 (-1.7) | 127.0 (+4.0) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DAV -19.3 (-4.3) | 125.9 (+5.1) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DAV -19.4 (-4.4) | 129.0 (+2.0) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | FOR 63 – 59 DAV |
| Jan 22, 2026 | DAV 68 – 63 FOR |
| Feb 22, 2025 | DAV 80 – 69 FOR |
| Jan 11, 2025 | DAV 74 – 64 FOR |
| Mar 12, 2024 | FOR 71 – 63 DAV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DAV | FOR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-9 | 2-12 |
| Conference | 7-4 | 2-11 |
| Home | 7-4 | 2-5 |
| Away | 4-2 | 0-6 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.4 | 51.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.8 | 66.6 |
| Massey | 7.4 (#72) | -13.5 (#334) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.71 (#118) | -1.77 (#300) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.31 (#105) | -3.47 (#324) |
| RPI | 0.515 (#140) | 0.397 (#308) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DAV | FOR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.2% | 34.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 22.8% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 30.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.6% | 39.0% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 21.6% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 24.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 18.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 80.8% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
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