Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCA -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | GWEB +110 UNCA -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GWEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCA +4 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | GWEB -4.4 (-8.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.9 (+5.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GWEB -3.4 (-7.4) | 147.4 (+6.6) | 66% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GWEB -3.1 (-7.1) | 147.2 (+6.8) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GWEB -3.4 (-7.4) | 148.8 (+5.2) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GWEB -3.0 (-7.0) | 148.8 (+5.2) | 64% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | UNCA 77 – 71 GWEB |
| Jan 29, 2026 | UNCA 69 – 50 GWEB |
| Feb 7, 2025 | UNCA 78 – 70 GWEB |
| Jan 23, 2025 | UNCA 61 – 53 GWEB |
| Mar 9, 2024 | UNCA 83 – 72 GWEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GWEB | UNCA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-15 | 10-10 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 9-5 |
| Home | 7-4 | 6-4 |
| Away | 4-11 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 73.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.4 | 72.8 |
| Massey | -0.6 (#169) | -2.2 (#202) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.93 (#244) | -1.39 (#280) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.30 (#245) | -1.45 (#255) |
| RPI | 0.510 (#152) | 0.423 (#281) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GWEB | UNCA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 48.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 55.0% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 22.8% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 16.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.3% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
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