Betting Lines
| Spread | VILL -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | VILL -400 HALL +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VILL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VILL +2 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | VILL -8.5 (-6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.4 (+2.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VILL -8.2 (-6.2) | 147.7 (+2.3) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VILL -7.4 (-5.4) | 145.6 (+4.4) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VILL -6.8 (-4.8) | 146.7 (+3.3) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VILL -6.1 (-4.1) | 148.4 (+1.6) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2026 | VILL 72 – 60 HALL |
| Dec 24, 2025 | VILL 64 – 56 HALL |
| Mar 13, 2025 | VILL 67 – 55 HALL |
| Feb 27, 2025 | VILL 59 – 54 HALL |
| Dec 18, 2024 | VILL 79 – 67 HALL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VILL | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-7 | 14-13 |
| Conference | 11-4 | 10-9 |
| Home | 9-0 | 7-4 |
| Away | 4-4 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.8 | 71.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 69.7 |
| Massey | 15.6 (#17) | 9.9 (#52) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.57 (#8) | 2.00 (#53) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.65 (#11) | 2.93 (#45) |
| RPI | 0.619 (#25) | 0.591 (#48) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VILL | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.5% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 37.5% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.92 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.1% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 11.8% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 31.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 78.6% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.9% | 17.7% |
Game Analysis
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