Betting Lines
| Spread | URI -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | DUQ +200 URI -188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DUQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DUQ +2 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | URI -7.5 (+9.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.5 (+7.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 23% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 17% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | URI -6.6 (+8.6) | 135.3 (+4.7) | 28% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | URI -4.7 (+6.7) | 133.5 (+6.5) | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | URI -5.9 (+7.9) | 136.6 (+3.4) | 31% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | URI -6.4 (+8.4) | 135.6 (+4.4) | 27% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | DUQ 67 – 61 URI |
| Mar 5, 2026 | URI 64 – 52 DUQ |
| Feb 1, 2026 | DUQ 76 – 61 URI |
| Dec 31, 2024 | DUQ 67 – 55 URI |
| Feb 3, 2024 | DUQ 85 – 71 URI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DUQ | URI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-9 | 10-15 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 7-10 |
| Home | 5-1 | 6-3 |
| Away | 2-5 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.9 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.1 | 71.1 |
| Massey | -1.8 (#199) | 8.5 (#62) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.65 (#219) | 1.07 (#97) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.21 (#180) | 1.90 (#78) |
| RPI | 0.491 (#183) | 0.555 (#84) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DUQ | URI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.0% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 28.3% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 38.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.5% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 29.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 45.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 25.9% |
Game Analysis
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