Betting Lines
| Spread | USU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | USU -350 CSU +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USU +19 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | USU -5.7 (+13.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.7 (+13.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USU -4.7 (+14.3) | 136.6 (+10.4) | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USU -4.6 (+14.4) | 140.8 (+6.2) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USU -5.2 (+13.8) | 138.5 (+8.5) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | USU -5.2 (+13.8) | 138.1 (+8.9) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | USU 65 – 61 CSU |
| Dec 20, 2025 | USU 100 – 58 CSU |
| Mar 15, 2025 | CSU 83 – 72 USU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | CSU 93 – 66 USU |
| Feb 12, 2025 | USU 93 – 85 CSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USU | CSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-9 | 20-8 |
| Conference | 15-4 | 14-4 |
| Home | 10-2 | 10-1 |
| Away | 7-3 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 73.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.3 | 66.4 |
| Massey | 11.3 (#37) | 8.3 (#63) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.65 (#65) | 2.02 (#50) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.77 (#84) | 2.02 (#73) |
| RPI | 0.564 (#77) | 0.595 (#44) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USU | CSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 39.2% |
| REB / G | 41.6 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 6.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 56.0% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 35.3% | 20.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.2% | 46.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.7% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 79.6% | 75.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.1% | 11.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.