Betting Lines
| Spread | WYO -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | AF +163 WYO -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WYO +19 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | AF -1.1 (-20.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.4 (-6.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AF -0.6 (-19.6) | 140.1 (-5.1) | 57% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AF -0.5 (-19.5) | 136.7 (-1.7) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WYO -1.9 (-17.1) | 139.9 (-4.9) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AF -0.4 (-19.4) | 140.7 (-5.7) | 53% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | WYO 66 – 62 AF |
| Dec 30, 2025 | WYO 68 – 56 AF |
| Feb 19, 2025 | WYO 69 – 62 AF |
| Jan 4, 2025 | WYO 70 – 65 AF |
| Mar 6, 2024 | WYO 74 – 63 AF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AF | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-20 | 14-11 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 7-9 |
| Home | 3-8 | 7-5 |
| Away | 1-10 | 4-5 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 58.7 | 76.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 75.5 |
| Massey | -6.2 (#267) | -4.5 (#243) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.10 (#159) | -0.31 (#191) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.75 (#214) | -0.75 (#215) |
| RPI | 0.512 (#151) | 0.412 (#294) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AF | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 24.4 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 3.9 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 53.5% |
| TOV% | 24.0% | 14.8% |
| ORB% | 14.4% | 24.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.6% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 66.0% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.9% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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