Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUF -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | CSUF -120 CSUN +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUF +8 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | CSUF -0.4 (+7.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.7 (+12.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUF -1.0 (+7.0) | 147.0 (+15.0) | 52% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUN -0.1 (+8.1) | 146.0 (+16.0) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUF -0.5 (+7.5) | 149.8 (+12.2) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CSUF -0.6 (+7.4) | 148.9 (+13.1) | 52% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | CSUF 90 – 77 CSUN |
| Jan 11, 2026 | CSUF 86 – 79 CSUN |
| Feb 7, 2025 | CSUN 82 – 63 CSUF |
| Jan 3, 2025 | CSUN 95 – 65 CSUF |
| Feb 25, 2024 | CSUN 65 – 60 CSUF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUF | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-10 | 9-13 |
| Conference | 5-7 | 5-9 |
| Home | 5-4 | 4-7 |
| Away | 1-5 | 4-4 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 70.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.1 | 77.6 |
| Massey | -7.2 (#279) | -4.9 (#247) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.41 (#281) | 0.10 (#161) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.80 (#274) | -0.39 (#191) |
| RPI | 0.373 (#321) | 0.472 (#214) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUF | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 22.5% | 23.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 76.1% | 75.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 31.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.