Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | DEL +163 HOF -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOF +1 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | HOF -0.8 (-0.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.2 (+0.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 33% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEL -0.2 (-1.2) | 133.4 (+1.6) | 52% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOF -0.6 (-0.4) | 133.0 (+2.0) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEL -0.1 (-1.1) | 134.8 (+0.2) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DEL -0.2 (-1.2) | 134.4 (+0.6) | 49% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2025 | HOF 78 – 65 DEL |
| Jan 24, 2025 | HOF 93 – 68 DEL |
| Mar 11, 2024 | HOF 73 – 58 DEL |
| Jan 6, 2024 | HOF 76 – 71 DEL |
| Jan 14, 2023 | HOF 86 – 62 DEL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEL | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-8 | 13-10 |
| Conference | 5-4 | 8-6 |
| Home | 6-3 | 7-3 |
| Away | 1-4 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.7 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.9 | 73.0 |
| Massey | -5.1 (#249) | -1.5 (#192) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.09 (#256) | 0.14 (#157) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.43 (#256) | -0.17 (#173) |
| RPI | 0.411 (#292) | 0.525 (#115) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEL | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 29.4% | 28.5% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.2% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 25.3% | 25.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 26.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 74.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.8% | 16.6% |
Game Analysis
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