Betting Lines
| Spread | MRSH -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | MRSH -120 WKU +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRSH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WKU +2 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | MRSH -6.7 (-8.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.4 (-18.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRSH -4.3 (-6.3) | 147.1 (-11.1) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRSH -5.9 (-7.9) | 149.1 (-13.1) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MRSH -6.1 (-8.1) | 149.9 (-13.9) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRSH -5.2 (-7.2) | 149.3 (-13.3) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 11, 2025 | MRSH 77 – 61 WKU |
| Dec 1, 2024 | WKU 90 – 82 MRSH |
| Mar 5, 2022 | WKU 78 – 69 MRSH |
| Mar 3, 2022 | WKU 86 – 72 MRSH |
| Jan 15, 2021 | WKU 81 – 73 MRSH |
Game Analysis
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