Betting Lines
| Spread | WKU -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WKU +9 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | WKU -10.3 (-1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.1 (-10.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WKU -9.8 (-0.8) | 156.0 (-9.0) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WKU -11.2 (-2.2) | 156.6 (-9.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WKU -11.5 (-2.5) | 156.4 (-9.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WKU -11.2 (-2.2) | 156.3 (-9.3) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 11, 2025 | MRSH 77 – 61 WKU |
| Dec 1, 2024 | WKU 90 – 82 MRSH |
| Mar 3, 2022 | WKU 86 – 72 MRSH |
| Jan 17, 2021 | WKU 69 – 67 MRSH |
| Jan 15, 2021 | WKU 81 – 73 MRSH |
Game Analysis
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