Betting Lines
| Spread | WKU -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRSH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WKU +14 | 158 | Lost |
| Massey | WKU -4.0 (-10.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.7 (+1.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 33% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WKU -3.2 (-10.8) | 155.2 (+2.8) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WKU -1.7 (-12.3) | 154.6 (+3.4) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WKU -1.8 (-12.2) | 155.6 (+2.4) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WKU -2.5 (-11.5) | 155.4 (+2.6) | 34% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 11, 2025 | MRSH 77 – 61 WKU |
| Dec 1, 2024 | WKU 90 – 82 MRSH |
| Mar 5, 2022 | WKU 78 – 69 MRSH |
| Jan 17, 2021 | WKU 69 – 67 MRSH |
| Jan 15, 2021 | WKU 81 – 73 MRSH |
Game Analysis
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