Betting Lines
| Spread | MRSH -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 159.5 Under |
| Money | MRSH -135 WKU +114 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRSH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRSH +16 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | MRSH -0.8 (+15.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 166.5 (-28.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRSH -2.4 (+13.6) | 154.4 (-16.4) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRSH -2.6 (+13.4) | 153.3 (-15.3) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRSH -2.3 (+13.7) | 153.7 (-15.7) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRSH -1.7 (+14.3) | 156.8 (-18.8) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 1, 2024 | WKU 90 – 82 MRSH |
| Mar 5, 2022 | WKU 78 – 69 MRSH |
| Mar 3, 2022 | WKU 86 – 72 MRSH |
| Jan 17, 2021 | WKU 69 – 67 MRSH |
| Jan 15, 2021 | WKU 81 – 73 MRSH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRSH | WKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 11-9 |
| Home | 13-4 | 12-4 |
| Away | 6-8 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.5 | 77.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.9 | 77.0 |
| Massey | 1.1 (#154) | 5.1 (#108) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.60 (#134) | 1.45 (#77) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.72 (#138) | 2.20 (#73) |
| RPI | 0.538 (#113) | 0.539 (#112) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRSH | WKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 40.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.0% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 14.9% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 32.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.9% | 28.8% |
Game Analysis
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