Betting Lines
| Spread | WKU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | WKU -360 MRSH +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WKU +8 | 172 | Won |
| Massey | WKU -5.6 (+2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.2 (+33.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WKU -4.5 (+3.5) | 146.0 (+26.0) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WKU -4.3 (+3.7) | 140.5 (+31.5) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WKU -3.9 (+4.1) | 141.4 (+30.6) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WKU -3.9 (+4.1) | 142.9 (+29.1) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 11, 2025 | MRSH 77 – 61 WKU |
| Mar 5, 2022 | WKU 78 – 69 MRSH |
| Mar 3, 2022 | WKU 86 – 72 MRSH |
| Jan 17, 2021 | WKU 69 – 67 MRSH |
| Jan 15, 2021 | WKU 81 – 73 MRSH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WKU | MRSH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 12-6 |
| Home | 13-5 | 14-3 |
| Away | 4-9 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.8 | 72.5 |
| Massey | 0.1 (#162) | 0.1 (#161) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.20 (#195) | -0.28 (#203) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.12 (#155) | -0.73 (#222) |
| RPI | 0.507 (#156) | 0.499 (#167) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WKU | MRSH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.8% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 29.6% | 27.7% |
| REB / G | 41.6 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.4% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 26.4% | 33.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 29.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.6% | 45.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 74.1% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.9% | 38.1% |
Game Analysis
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