Betting Lines
| Spread | LSU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | LSU -300 SC +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LSU +5 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | LSU -13.1 (-8.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.7 (+6.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LSU -11.2 (-6.2) | 155.9 (+9.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LSU -8.8 (-3.8) | 151.3 (+13.7) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LSU -10.8 (-5.8) | 152.9 (+12.1) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LSU -11.2 (-6.2) | 154.5 (+10.5) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | LSU 92 – 87 SC |
| Jan 7, 2026 | SC 78 – 68 LSU |
| Feb 19, 2025 | LSU 81 – 67 SC |
| Feb 17, 2024 | LSU 64 – 63 SC |
| Feb 18, 2023 | SC 82 – 73 LSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LSU | SC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-10 | 6-15 |
| Conference | 11-6 | 4-12 |
| Home | 11-2 | 3-6 |
| Away | 4-6 | 2-7 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.8 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 79.1 |
| Massey | 16.7 (#11) | 6.5 (#81) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.33 (#39) | 1.73 (#64) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.29 (#37) | 2.23 (#64) |
| RPI | 0.642 (#11) | 0.588 (#50) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LSU | SC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.4% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 38.9 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 13.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.6% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 22.6% |
| ORB% | 34.6% | 35.6% |
| FT Rate | 30.9% | 19.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.2% | 23.3% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 75.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 32.1% |
Game Analysis
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