Betting Lines
| Spread | NE -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Over |
| Money | COFC +110 NE -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COFC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NE +2 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | NE -2.6 (+0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.4 (+6.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NE -1.8 (-0.2) | 130.3 (+3.7) | 39% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NE -1.9 (-0.1) | 128.1 (+5.9) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NE -1.5 (-0.5) | 131.4 (+2.6) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NE -2.1 (+0.1) | 132.1 (+1.9) | 40% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | COFC 89 – 84 NE |
| Feb 21, 2025 | COFC 73 – 62 NE |
| Jan 18, 2025 | COFC 87 – 85 NE |
| Feb 16, 2024 | COFC 77 – 73 NE |
| Feb 14, 2023 | COFC 99 – 63 NE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COFC | NE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-10 | 10-9 |
| Conference | 6-4 | 8-2 |
| Home | 8-6 | 5-1 |
| Away | 1-3 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.0 | 67.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 68.3 |
| Massey | -4.1 (#233) | 1.4 (#146) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.74 (#230) | 0.77 (#114) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.92 (#227) | 0.77 (#128) |
| RPI | 0.464 (#219) | 0.591 (#49) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COFC | NE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 6.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 24.3% | 19.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.9% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 75.4% | 74.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.8% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
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