Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUF -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | CSUF -110 CSUN +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUN +1 | 171 | Lost |
| Massey | CSUF -0.8 (-1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.6 (+30.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUF -1.2 (-2.2) | 143.1 (+27.9) | 55% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUF -0.1 (-1.1) | 144.2 (+26.8) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUF -0.1 (-1.1) | 144.6 (+26.4) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CSUF -1.1 (-2.1) | 143.6 (+27.4) | 54% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | CSUF 90 – 77 CSUN |
| Jan 11, 2026 | CSUF 86 – 79 CSUN |
| Feb 7, 2025 | CSUN 82 – 63 CSUF |
| Jan 3, 2025 | CSUN 95 – 65 CSUF |
| Feb 25, 2024 | CSUN 65 – 60 CSUF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUF | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-10 | 9-13 |
| Conference | 5-7 | 5-9 |
| Home | 5-4 | 4-7 |
| Away | 1-5 | 4-4 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 70.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.1 | 77.6 |
| Massey | -7.6 (#284) | -5.5 (#255) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.02 (#249) | -0.30 (#192) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.63 (#265) | -0.73 (#210) |
| RPI | 0.369 (#327) | 0.444 (#248) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUF | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 40.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 21.7% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 22.4% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.2% | 20.7% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 75.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 32.6% |
Game Analysis
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