Betting Lines
| Spread | IDST -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Under |
| Money | IDST -120 SAC +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IDST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IDST +1 | 113 | Won |
| Massey | SAC -0.2 (+1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 122.4 (-9.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SAC -0.5 (+1.5) | 130.3 (-17.3) | 46% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IDST -0.7 (+0.3) | 126.6 (-13.6) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SAC -1.3 (+2.3) | 124.6 (-11.6) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | IDST -1.1 (-0.1) | 131.1 (-18.1) | 43% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | SAC 83 – 65 IDST |
| Jan 2, 2026 | IDST 97 – 84 SAC |
| Feb 23, 2025 | IDST 83 – 66 SAC |
| Jan 24, 2025 | SAC 75 – 71 IDST |
| Feb 9, 2024 | IDST 68 – 40 SAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IDST | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-11 | 8-12 |
| Conference | 8-6 | 5-9 |
| Home | 8-3 | 5-3 |
| Away | 5-5 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.8 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.5 | 73.9 |
| Massey | -4.8 (#245) | -1.8 (#195) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.01 (#248) | -0.65 (#221) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.65 (#267) | -1.24 (#241) |
| RPI | 0.451 (#240) | 0.452 (#237) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IDST | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 29.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.67 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 26.5% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 26.9% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 26.7% |
| DRB% | 74.1% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 27.7% |
Game Analysis
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