Betting Lines
| Spread | IOWA -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Over |
| Money | NU +400 IOWA -450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IOWA +23 | 169 | Lost |
| Massey | IOWA -8.8 (-14.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.8 (+5.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IOWA -6.2 (-16.8) | 161.9 (+7.1) | 28% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IOWA -8.1 (-14.9) | 157.4 (+11.6) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IOWA -7.5 (-15.5) | 161.5 (+7.5) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IOWA -6.6 (-16.4) | 163.0 (+6.0) | 24% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | IOWA 76 – 70 NU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | NU 68 – 57 IOWA |
| Dec 4, 2024 | IOWA 80 – 79 NU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | IOWA 87 – 80 NU |
| Feb 19, 2023 | NU 80 – 60 IOWA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NU | IOWA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-15 | 22-9 |
| Conference | 6-13 | 14-6 |
| Home | 7-6 | 14-2 |
| Away | 2-8 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.0 | 83.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 72.7 |
| Massey | 9.4 (#56) | 21.0 (#3) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.94 (#54) | 3.80 (#5) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.21 (#39) | 5.46 (#5) |
| RPI | 0.553 (#88) | 0.610 (#32) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NU | IOWA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 48.8% |
| 3PT% | 37.7% | 39.3% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 41.6 |
| OREB / G | 6.8 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.62 | 2.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 56.7% |
| TOV% | 14.6% | 13.5% |
| ORB% | 20.1% | 34.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 74.7% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 14.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.