Betting Lines
| Spread | NDSU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Over |
| Money | UND +240 NDSU -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UND win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UND +4 | 160 | Won |
| Massey | NDSU -6.4 (+10.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 122.1 (+37.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 22% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 12% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NDSU -6.4 (+10.4) | 127.4 (+32.6) | 24% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NDSU -5.3 (+9.3) | 127.0 (+33.0) | 27% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NDSU -5.6 (+9.6) | 128.8 (+31.2) | 28% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NDSU -5.1 (+9.1) | 129.2 (+30.8) | 29% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | NDSU 70 – 62 UND |
| Feb 28, 2026 | NDSU 96 – 63 UND |
| Feb 14, 2026 | NDSU 83 – 66 UND |
| Feb 22, 2025 | UND 79 – 77 NDSU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | NDSU 87 – 82 UND |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UND | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-17 | 15-12 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 11-5 |
| Home | 5-3 | 6-2 |
| Away | 3-11 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.7 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.7 | 67.7 |
| Massey | -8.3 (#293) | 0.8 (#156) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.90 (#301) | -0.11 (#173) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.01 (#313) | -0.37 (#190) |
| RPI | 0.422 (#277) | 0.517 (#137) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UND | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.3% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 29.0% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.1% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 24.1% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 13.4% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 79.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 16.3% |
Game Analysis
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