Betting Lines
| Spread | FGCU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | FGCU -146 BELL +124 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FGCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BELL +17 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | FGCU -0.9 (-17.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.3 (+10.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FGCU -1.8 (-18.8) | 135.7 (+7.3) | 56% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FGCU -0.3 (-17.3) | 131.9 (+11.1) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BELL -0.5 (-16.5) | 135.2 (+7.8) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FGCU -1.3 (-18.3) | 136.2 (+6.8) | 51% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | BELL 81 – 65 FGCU |
| Feb 27, 2025 | FGCU 80 – 61 BELL |
| Jan 23, 2025 | FGCU 77 – 61 BELL |
| Feb 11, 2024 | FGCU 63 – 52 BELL |
| Jan 14, 2023 | BELL 61 – 41 FGCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FGCU | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-8 | 14-8 |
| Conference | 4-5 | 10-3 |
| Home | 7-4 | 6-4 |
| Away | 2-2 | 7-2 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.1 | 72.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.6 | 68.9 |
| Massey | -6.4 (#272) | -4.5 (#241) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.46 (#202) | -1.28 (#273) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.00 (#232) | -1.29 (#246) |
| RPI | 0.427 (#270) | 0.426 (#271) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FGCU | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 29.7% | 37.3% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 30.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 23.8% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 25.2% |
| FT Rate | 14.5% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 57.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.7% | 22.1% |
| DRB% | 66.4% | 75.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.5% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
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