Betting Lines
| Spread | ARMY -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | BU +150 ARMY -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARMY +11 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | ARMY -8.2 (-2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.6 (+1.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARMY -6.2 (-4.8) | 142.1 (-1.1) | 29% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARMY -5.4 (-5.6) | 140.3 (+0.7) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARMY -5.6 (-5.4) | 143.0 (-2.0) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARMY -6.1 (-4.9) | 142.3 (-1.3) | 31% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2026 | BU 85 – 68 ARMY |
| Jan 10, 2026 | BU 100 – 91 ARMY |
| Jan 18, 2025 | ARMY 68 – 62 BU |
| Jan 5, 2025 | BU 71 – 63 ARMY |
| Feb 14, 2024 | ARMY 65 – 50 BU |
Game Analysis
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