Betting Lines
| Spread | TEX -16.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | TEX -2000 KSU +1400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEX +15 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | TEX -20.1 (-5.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.3 (+11.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEX -16.6 (-1.6) | 140.1 (+8.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEX -14.1 (+0.9) | 137.0 (+12.0) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEX -14.8 (+0.2) | 139.5 (+9.5) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TEX -16.9 (-1.9) | 140.6 (+8.4) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2024 | KSU 78 – 74 TEX |
| Feb 20, 2024 | TEX 62 – 56 KSU |
| Feb 4, 2023 | TEX 69 – 66 KSU |
| Jan 4, 2023 | KSU 116 – 103 TEX |
| Jan 19, 2022 | KSU 66 – 65 TEX |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEX | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-8 | 9-20 |
| Conference | 11-6 | 4-14 |
| Home | 8-5 | 6-12 |
| Away | 6-2 | 2-7 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 61.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.8 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 15.9 (#16) | -1.4 (#190) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.59 (#8) | -0.18 (#183) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.10 (#7) | -0.58 (#202) |
| RPI | 0.671 (#5) | 0.485 (#189) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEX | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 40.7 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 17.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.8% | 54.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.3% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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