Betting Lines
| Spread | WOF -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | UTC +130 WOF -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WOF +18 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | UTC -1.7 (-19.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.6 (-7.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTC -1.8 (-19.8) | 145.4 (-9.4) | 63% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTC -1.5 (-19.5) | 142.5 (-6.5) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTC -2.5 (-20.5) | 142.8 (-6.8) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTC -1.6 (-19.6) | 146.6 (-10.6) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | WOF 81 – 55 UTC |
| Jan 14, 2026 | UTC 76 – 67 WOF |
| Feb 6, 2025 | UTC 79 – 70 WOF |
| Jan 16, 2025 | UTC 83 – 81 WOF |
| Mar 9, 2024 | UTC 75 – 57 WOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTC | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-8 | 15-9 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 12-5 |
| Home | 9-3 | 9-3 |
| Away | 9-4 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 70.0 |
| Massey | 2.2 (#130) | 3.3 (#118) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.00 (#100) | 1.03 (#97) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.16 (#112) | 1.39 (#99) |
| RPI | 0.540 (#109) | 0.565 (#79) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTC | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 37.8% | 37.4% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.3 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 55.3% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 21.8% |
| ORB% | 21.3% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 17.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 76.5% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.5% | 19.4% |
Game Analysis
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