Betting Lines
| Spread | GAST -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | GAST -250 CCU +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GAST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GAST +3 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | GAST -4.5 (-1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.4 (-18.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GAST -6.2 (-3.2) | 152.8 (-13.8) | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GAST -3.8 (-0.8) | 150.3 (-11.3) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GAST -4.7 (-1.7) | 151.6 (-12.6) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GAST -6.6 (-3.6) | 151.1 (-12.1) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | CCU 76 – 71 GAST |
| Jan 3, 2026 | GAST 89 – 71 CCU |
| Feb 27, 2025 | CCU 80 – 74 GAST |
| Jan 11, 2025 | GAST 79 – 74 CCU |
| Feb 22, 2024 | GAST 72 – 71 CCU |
Game Analysis
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