I got a baby's brain and an old man's heart "I'm Eighteen" - Alice Cooper
Big Sky Conference · Cowan Spectrum · January 16, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread UNCO -8.5 Away covered
O/U 138.5 Under
Money IDHO +350 / UNCO -350
Model Predictions
Spread Total IDHO win
Actual UNCO +14 136 Lost
Massey UNCO -7.2 (-6.8) — —
Massey Totals — 137.4 (-1.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 6% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 2% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML UNCO -6.6 (-7.4) 135.6 (+0.4) 23% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ UNCO -7.7 (-6.3) 134.3 (+1.7) 19% ✓
Baseline Plus ML UNCO -7.6 (-6.4) 135.8 (+0.2) 19% ✓
Baseline ML UNCO -8.4 (-5.6) 137.3 (-1.3) 24% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 28, 2026 UNCO 76 – 67 IDHO
Jan 30, 2026 UNCO 91 – 83 IDHO
Feb 23, 2025 UNCO 92 – 74 IDHO
Jan 24, 2025 IDHO 77 – 76 UNCO
Feb 23, 2024 UNCO 76 – 62 IDHO

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings IDHO UNCO
Overall 1-21 11-11
Conference 1-17 6-8
Home 1-9 6-5
Away 0-11 4-5
Neutral 0-1 1-1
Last 5 0-5 2-3
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 61.0 68.0
Avg Pts Against 76.5 70.5
Massey -14.8 (#336) -4.8 (#242)
Bradley-Terry -4.74 (#346) -1.48 (#277)
W. Bradley-Terry -6.81 (#345) -2.34 (#291)
RPI 0.300 (#343) 0.402 (#293)
Shooting & Four Factors IDHO UNCO
FG% 43.9% 41.4%
3PT% 34.6% 35.2%
REB / G 30.2 31.7
OREB / G 6.8 7.4
AST / TO 0.83 0.61
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.8% 48.7%
TOV% 23.8% 21.7%
ORB% 21.3% 22.2%
FT Rate 18.9% 25.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.4% 48.6%
Opp TOV% 17.1% 17.2%
DRB% 68.4% 75.2%
Opp FT Rate 28.6% 24.2%

Game Analysis

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