Betting Lines
| Spread | WYO -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | AF +140 WYO -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AF +3 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | AF -0.5 (+2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.5 (-2.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AF -0.5 (+2.5) | 142.4 (-1.4) | 54% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WYO -0.3 (+3.3) | 139.0 (+2.0) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WYO -1.2 (+4.2) | 141.9 (-0.9) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | AF -0.1 (+2.9) | 142.8 (-1.8) | 51% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | WYO 66 – 62 AF |
| Dec 30, 2025 | WYO 68 – 56 AF |
| Feb 19, 2025 | WYO 69 – 62 AF |
| Jan 4, 2025 | WYO 70 – 65 AF |
| Mar 6, 2024 | WYO 74 – 63 AF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AF | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-20 | 14-11 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 7-9 |
| Home | 3-8 | 7-5 |
| Away | 1-10 | 4-5 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 58.7 | 76.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 75.5 |
| Massey | -6.3 (#268) | -4.0 (#230) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.12 (#181) | 0.06 (#170) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.00 (#226) | -0.03 (#175) |
| RPI | 0.501 (#165) | 0.419 (#273) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AF | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 24.4 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 3.9 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.71 | 1.37 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 25.1% | 14.1% |
| ORB% | 14.4% | 23.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 65.7% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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